The talks in Istanbul between Russia and Ukraine raise questions about the sincerity of the commitments made.


### The talks between Russia and Ukraine: a promising evolution or an ephemeral illusion?

On May 15, 2025, in a context where tensions persisted between Russia and Ukraine, a diplomatic initiative was born in Istanbul. This meeting, which brings together representatives from the two countries, is emblematic of an attempt to reconnect after months of exacerbated conflict. The absence of leaders (Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump), although notable, raises questions about the depth of the current commitment of key actors in this peace process.

### A delegation to Istanbul: what meaning?

Russia’s decision to send a delegation, led by Vladimir Medinski, Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs, and Alexandre Fomine, Vice-Minister of Defense, constitutes a crucial moment. For the first time since the start of the Russian invasion in 2022, Russian and Ukrainian representatives meet directly. In addition, the participation of the United States, even indirect, through the Secretary of State Marco Rubio, testifies to an international interest in the de-escalation of this conflict.

If the absence of Putin may seem discouraging, it does not invalidate the symbolic significance of the event. This raises the question of delegated diplomacy and the real intentions of the governments concerned. Could this configuration suggest a change of course, a test of new diplomatic visions, or is it simply an attempt to calm tensions without real desire for change?

### peace of peace: between conditions and realities

The requirements of the parties seem irreconcilable at first sight. Russia insists on the recognition of its territorial annexions and on the ban for Ukraine to join NATO, while kyiv demands the retreat of the Russian forces and solid security guarantees. These requests reveal historical complexities rooted in regional dynamics.

The Ukrainian insistence on “strong security guarantees” also raises questions concerning confidence between the two nations. Who can ensure that promises made today will not be bypassed tomorrow? Does the return to a form of neutrality that could include a collective security system represents a possible path to get out of this dead end?

### International actors: Role and responsibilities

The position of neighboring countries and major powers like the United States, the European Union, and even distant actors like China, is also crucial. Turkey, which served as a mediator, is at a geopolitical crossroads. It expresses a hope of “historic turning point” in the discussions, but can we really expect that a nation can bring together such antagonistic positions?

On the other hand, the threats of “massive” sanctions on the part of Europeans in the event of non-compliance with decisions ask the question: is external pressure a real lever, or can it, on the contrary, exacerbate tensions and make negotiations even more difficult?

### towards lasting diplomacy: the tracks to consider

This conclave represents an opportunity not to be overlooked, but the road to lasting peace still seems sown with pitfalls. To move forward, it would be perhaps constructive to consider more enlarged negotiations, including civil society actors and independent forums, thus making it possible to take into account the concerns of the populations affected by the conflict.

The implementation of confidence mechanisms, such as demilitarized areas or joint initiatives in neutral fields, could also create a favorable climate for positive exchanges. These approaches could not only strengthen the concept of dialogue, but also to promote a more human and collaborative approach on both sides.

#### Conclusion

While discussions are committed to Istanbul, it is essential to be vigilant and open -minded. The talks between Russia and Ukraine are essential not only to put an end to a destructive conflict but also to lay the groundwork for a peaceful future. An approach based on mutual respect and taking into account the legitimate concerns of each party could open a way to a more substantial agreement. At a time when national interests seem to weigh heavily, diplomacy may remain the best tool to consider a success of appeasement.

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