The Pascale truce announced by Putin highlights persistent tensions and the challenges of dialogue in Ukraine.


** The harsh reality of the truce in Ukraine: between promises and failures **

The recent episode of violence in Ukraine, which saw Ukraine and Russia exchange accusations of attacks despite the announcement of a Pascale truce, highlights the complexity of a conflict that has been going on for several years. While Vladimir Putin offered a 30-hour ceasefire period, events on the ground reveal another reality, where hopes of peace are often confronted with painful disillusions.

### Historical and geopolitical context

The Ukrainian conflict, which started in 2014, was marked by Lacrimée and war in eastern Ukraine. A conflict where the border between conventional war and hybrid war is blurred incessantly, fueled by geopolitical interests, exacerbated nationalisms and internal power struggles. These elements make any attempt at a delicate lull, with stakeholders with sometimes obscure motivations.

Truce’s initiative, often presented by leaders, becomes a period which can also be interpreted as a timely moment to prepare offensives. The Fatshimetrie report underlines an “lull in the Ukrainian heavens”, but not on the ground, which raises questions about the sincerity and the applicability of these ceases, even temporary.

### Lives at stake

Beyond political issues, it is crucial to keep human lives in mind affected by this conflict. Each day, the accounts of suffering are multiplying, just like those of resilience. The attacks, even when they are carried out under the pretext of a ceasefire, bear dramatic consequences for thousands of civilians who live in anxiety. The aforementioned attack of Russian suicide bomber, reported by Fatshimetric, illustrates the absence of a secure environment for these populations, often taken hostage by the context of war.

### The question of negotiations

The truce, even if she is praised by some as a step towards peace, raises complex questions. Why do these attempts constantly fail? What is the real will of both sides to establish lasting peace? Are the words pronounced by the leaders compatible with the actions of their armies on the ground?

The peace process implies a mutual desire for dialogue, but also a transparency and a realization of promises. Engage in constructive discussions, which take into account the concerns of the two parties, seems to be an arduous but necessary task. This requires a framework of confidence which, so far, seems to be lacking, in particular in view of the repeated violations of past truces.

### Towards a mutual understanding

Instead of focusing on existing tensions, it would be constructive to explore rapprochement. The reconstruction of mutual trust could go through local initiatives, cultural exchanges or even buffer zones where violence would be suspended, making it possible to establish bridges between the populations.

### Conclusion

The current situation in Ukraine, marked by promises of peace that come up against war conditions, is indicative of a deeply rooted and complex conflict. Understanding the motivations of the actors present, as well as the consequences of their actions, is imperative to consider sustainable solutions.

Thus, rather than giving in to despair in the face of the failures of diplomacy, it can be more judicious to think about innovative methods of dialogue and peace. The road will be long, strewn with pitfalls, but the recognition of shared suffering could well constitute the first step towards real reconciliation.

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