Why does Friedrich Merz’s victory mark a turning point for Germany in the face of the climb of the far right?


In an unprecedented political upheaval, the recent federal elections in Germany mark a major turning point not only for the national political landscape, but also for European and international dynamics. The leader of the Conservative Party, Friedrich Merz, is now in a position to succeed Olaf Scholz, the outgoing chancellor of the Social Democratic Party. This victory, although modest, has deep repercussions and raises essential questions for the future of Germany, Europe and even beyond.

### An unprecedented climb of populism and the extreme right

The result of the elections highlights the continual emergence of populist and far -right parties in Europe. With almost 20% of the vote, the alternative party for Germany (AFD) has reached unprecedented scores since the Second World War. This boom is part of a broader trend observed across Europe, where similar parties gain ground by capitalizing on socio-economic frustrations and migratory concerns. The phenomenon of the political backlash, amplified by crises such as the Pandemic of Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine, opened the door to radical ideologies which advocate exacerbated nationalism and a questioning of liberal democratic values.

As such, the result of the German elections must be put in context with the results of other European countries. For example, in France, the national rally has recorded impressive electoral performances, while in Italy, the right coalition has taken power with parties with similar characteristics. This phenomenon raises the question of whether Germany, traditionally perceived as a bastion of European democracy, is following a worrying trajectory similar to that of its neighbors.

### The reaction of traditional parties in the face of popular distrust

In his concession speech, Olaf Scholz described the results as a “bitter turning point”, stressing the extent of the challenge facing traditional parties. The Social Democrats, who nevertheless showed optimism after a victory in the European elections, must now face a crisis of legitimacy within an electorate increasingly in search of alternatives.

Jan Van Aken, leader of the left party, underlined an opportunity for mobilization and gathering. With more than four million votes, the Left Party could play a crucial role in revitalizing the debate on social justice and economic inequalities. However, this effervescence must be put into perspective with reality: the Germanic political context seems more and more fragmented, making the dialogue interpartisan more complex than ever.

## Let the economic and social issues to come

The results of these elections also raise concerns about the country’s economic management. Friedrich Merz, a fervent defender of market policies, could tackle austerity reforms, reducing public spending and a progressive dismantling of social services in the name of competitiveness and profitability. The repercussions of such policies could exacerbate social fractures, particularly in terms of access to health and education. The promise of a liberal policy freshly revitalized by Christian Lindner, leader of the Liberals, could also augur an evolution of the German economic model, which has long been marked by a balance between the market economy and social protection.

### to an uncertain future for Germany and Europe

In this new political landscape, the general challenge for Germany will be to sail between these internal dynamics while remaining solidly anchored within the European Union. The sovereign position that the country has long occupied could be undermined by fragile alliances and disagreements on immigration and economic development policies. It will be crucial for the Germans to envisage how solid partnerships with their neighbors can help to counter the development of populism.

Ultimately, these elections mark a decisive turning point which could influence not only Germany, but also the future of Europe as a coherent political entity. A period of deep reflections on the direction and values ​​of the EU may well be on the horizon. The consequences of these choices will repercussions in the long term and will shape the way in which future leaders will approach the global challenges, whether economic, social or environmental. This moment of uncertainty requires that political actors, entrepreneurs and citizens are thinking together of building a more inclusive and equitable future.

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