Why does the march in support of Touadéra in Bangui raise doubts about genuine popular support for the 2025 elections?


**Bangui: A demonstration of popular support, but what are the issues behind Touadéra’s request for re-election?**

This Saturday morning in Bangui, the capital of the Central African Republic, hundreds of demonstrators made themselves heard, filled with slogans in favor of President Faustin-Archange Touadéra. Organized by the Touadéra 2025 Coalition, this march brings to the surface a complex political dynamic less than two years before the elections scheduled for December 2025. This mobilization reveals not only a certain popular support for the head of state, but also underlying issues that deserve special attention.

**Popular support or political manipulation?**

Yesterday’s strong mobilization, marked by songs and affirmations of loyalty to President Touadéra, raises a crucial question: to what extent are the aspirations expressed by these demonstrators representative of the national consensus? The narratives of participants, such as those of Jean Carlo Bonaventure or Norbert Pounaba, evoke a notable satisfaction with the changes that have occurred since Touadéra came to power in 2016. However, this dynamic can also be seen as a sign of a certain form of political manipulation, where the expression of support is orchestrated by entities close to power.

Looking at the historical context, it is relevant to recall that the Central African Republic has a tumultuous history of conflict, instability and coups d’état. The discourses on peace and stability, such as those put forward by the protesters, could satisfy a population tired of the violence of previous years, but it also raises questions about the sustainability and sincerity of this stability.

**The Constitution and the electoral framework: a return to the past?**

From a legal perspective, President Touadéra is at a remarkable turning point in his mandate. The constitutional reform of August 30, 2023 paved the way for his possible candidacy for a third term. This represents a significant change compared to the 2016 constitution, which explicitly limited the presidency to two successive terms. The constitutional alignment then makes it possible to envisage a return to autocratic political habits, where historical leaders extend their reign under democratic pretexts. This paradox is visible in several countries on the African continent, where governments maintain power by renegotiating legal norms.

The opposition, consolidated within the Republican Bloc for the Defense of the Constitution (BRDC), is trying to challenge the authority on this issue, by requesting a dialogue before the elections. While the presidency sticks to its positions, the path to a healthy electoral competition is becoming cloudy. Tensions between the government and the opposition risk increasing the polarization of the political scene already weakened by internal struggles and pressing socio-economic challenges.

**Socio-economic implications: a two-speed development**

It is crucial not to lose sight of the socio-economic implications concomitant with this massive support expressed during the march. Although some protesters speak of significant progress in economic and security terms since 2016, caution should be exercised on how this progress is distributed. Inequalities persist in the Central African Republic, and a significant part of the population remains excluded from potential economic development. Despite indicators of stability, the question of the inclusiveness of public policies is acute.

The example of the proximity of certain districts to conflict zones or natural resources, often poorly managed, highlights a complex dialectic where the benefits of governance are not perceived in a homogeneous manner. What is certain is that the support shown is also a demand: for real development, lasting peace, and a better daily life for all Central Africans.

**Conclusion: A high-tension election and promises of change**

Thus, this Saturday’s march could appear as a simple demonstration of support for President Touadéra, but it is in reality much more than that. It illustrates the fragility of a nation at a crossroads, torn between the desire for stability and the challenges of responsible governance. As the 2025 elections approach, the Central African Republic is facing critical choices that will shape its future. The question remains: will the voice of the people, however enthusiastic, be enough to transcend deep political divisions, or can it be used to justify political maneuvering at the national level? Fatshimetrie.org will continue to closely monitor these developments, awaiting the transparency needed to ensure real change.

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