How does Zelensky maneuver between Trump’s ambivalent promises and the Russian threat to Ukraine?


In January 2025, a whirlwind of diplomatic dynamism has already settled around the feared and charismatic personality of Donald Trump, recently re-elected President of the United States. In a blurred geostrategic context, where the war in Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression is intensifying, the behavior of world leaders, and more particularly of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, raises fascinating issues that deserve to be examined from a new angle.

### A strategic necessity

The dynamic between the United States and Ukraine, especially at the dawn of Trump’s mandate, is not simply a diplomatic dance. It is rooted in geopolitical and historical realities. As the conflict with Russia continues, Ukraine finds itself in a vulnerable position. In this fragile context, Zelensky resolutely adopts a pragmatic approach, seeking to get closer to a president who could become a determining factor for the future of his country. This maneuver is not mere flattery, but a survival strategy. Recent history shows us that the United States, under President Biden, has been a crucial support, but the equation could change dramatically under Trump, who is banking on negotiation with Russia.

### A diplomatic tango

The way leaders play with perceptions of strength plays a crucial role in international relations. In this regard, it can be observed that Zelensky, by praising Trump as a “strong” and “capable” leader, is not only trying to attract the attention of the former president, but also to create an image of unity in the face of a common adversary. This echoes a broader strategy, borrowed from other nations in similar scenarios. Let us recall, for example, China’s attempts to seduce Trump with a policy of grandiose spectacles, or the way in which political figures in Britain have bet on shared history and culture to influence their relations.

### The Duality of Expectations

However, this diligent courtship does not come without risks. The contrast between Trump’s rhetoric and actions embodies a dilemma. While expressing a desire for peace, his ties to the Kremlin and his generally more positive view of Russia leave questions unanswered. Ukrainians must navigate this complexity, hoping for the best while being wary of the underlying intentions. It is crucial to examine the very nature of Moscow’s peace promises, which are often tinged with hypocrisy, as highlighted in a report by international security analyst Nick Paton Walsh.

### The Weight of Precedents

To enrich our perspective, it would be wise to compare this situation with other periods of international tension. Consider the Cold War. At the time, countries like France and Germany often played a double game, seeking to cozy up to the United States while preserving relations with the Soviet Union. These nuanced approaches allowed some nations to exist within the larger context of East-West rivalry.

### Toward a Redefinition of Alliances

The lesson here may be this: If Zelensky can skillfully exploit this opportunity to redefine Ukraine’s alliance within the international landscape, he could also influence the balance of power in terms of military and economic support. The United States has historically been a pillar of defense for many nations in conflict. But the question remains: How far will Zelensky and his administration be willing to go to maintain this relationship with a compliant Trump?

### Conclusion

As the world enters a new year marked by upheaval and pervasive uncertainty, Ukraine finds itself in a diplomatic chess game, where every move can determine its fate. This opens the door to introspection on how weak countries can prevent themselves from falling into conflict and collapsing in on themselves, seeking to leverage their international relations through a delicate dance between admiration and distrust. The ability to juggle strategic alignment and self-preservation may well be the key to assuming a leading role in world affairs, even in the face of the persistent threat of military aggression. Ultimately, it is not just a question of alliance, but of resilience in the face of an ever-changing political landscape.

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