How can Madagascar strengthen its resilience in the face of increasing cyclones?


**Madagascar and Cyclones: A Cycle of Resilience in the Face of Adversity**

Cyclone Dikeledi has once again struck Madagascar, causing in its wake the human tragedy of three deaths and the displacement of nearly 1,000 people in the north of the island. This tragic weather phenomenon is not an isolated event, but is part of a larger picture of climate challenges that the Big Island faces every year. The erudition of local authorities, who had anticipated the arrival of Dikeledi, raises a crucial question: to what extent can preparedness efforts really mitigate the ravages of recurring natural disasters?

### Anticipation: A Proactive Approach

Preparations for cyclones, while commendable, reveal a ridiculousness in the face of the increasing frequency and intensity of these phenomena. Indeed, Madagascar is regularly affected by cyclones, but Dikeledi is one of the most violent throughout the 2023 cyclone season. Statistics show that on average, the island experiences more than 10 cyclones per year, with a tendency for their strength to increase, attributed to climate change.

This quantitative aspect invites us to look at the means put in place. According to a report by the World Meteorological Organization, up to 70% of economic losses in countries like Madagascar could be avoided by effective early warning systems and resilient infrastructure. The Malagasy government, in collaboration with various NGOs, has implemented several initiatives, ranging from improving infrastructure to awareness campaigns. But are they enough?

### Socio-Economic Consequences

The repercussions of Dikeledi go beyond human losses and material destruction. Each cyclone leaves an economic footprint. Crop losses, for example, can cripple the livelihoods of thousands of farmers, deepening the already entrenched poverty on the island. In 2022, cyclones were found to have contributed to an even sharper divide between urban and rural areas, the latter generally being more vulnerable to climate impacts.

Studies show that nearly 70% of the Malagasy population lives in rural areas, where agriculture remains the main economic driver. Returning to normal activities after cyclones is often a long and arduous process, requiring reconstruction aid and a replenishment of agricultural stocks.

### A Political Dimension

In parallel with this climate crisis, the political situation in Madagascar and its neighbors exposes a new set of issues. While General Abdel Fattah AL-BURHAN has refocused his attention on Mali, the hot potatoes of the succession of Paul Biya in Cameroon are gaining considerable momentum. Internal conflicts and regional tensions resonate with Malagasy realities. The need for strong governance in a context of multiple crises is an ever-present lesson. Countries in the region could benefit from stronger collaboration on climate policies, integrating sustainable development and community resilience perspectives.

### Collective Resilience: A New Horizon

Ultimately, while Cyclone Dikeledi has receded, the urgent call for action remains relevant. It appears essential to strengthen not only cyclone defense capacities but also to cultivate a strong sense of collective resilience. This includes supporting smallholder farmers, implementing sustainable practices, and social mobility to prevent losses from turning into cycles of hereditary poverty.

Thus, looking to the future, Madagascar could transform its challenges into opportunities for integrated development. Community capacity to adapt must be the lever to reverse the cycle of vulnerability, not a mere passive reaction to the forces of nature. Building bridges between climate and social policies, while transforming local engagement into a regional movement, could be the foundation for new resilience to the coming storms of tomorrow.

### Conclusion

The tragedy caused by Cyclone Dikeledi is a stark reminder of the challenges Madagascar faces, but also an opportunity to rethink and reshape our collective approach to disaster management. Through the prism of solidarity, innovation and resilience, Madagascar can hope to design a safer future for its citizens. Beyond the tragic events, the imperative to explore new ways to strengthen sustainability and security remains more relevant than ever.

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