Referendum in Chad: disappointing low participation, what impact on the legitimacy of the results?

Chad was recently the scene of a constitutional referendum, where the population was asked to vote on a series of constitutional reforms. However, the first provisional results revealed a disappointing participation, to say the least. Indeed, according to local media, the capital Ndjamena recorded low attendance at polling stations. This situation contrasts sharply with presidential and legislative elections, where long lines of voters often form from the early hours of the morning.

The observers present on site also confirmed this observation, although they said they were bound by a duty of reserve at this advanced stage of the electoral process. The testimonies collected indicate that voters presented themselves individually throughout the day and that there was not the usual enthusiasm that we observe during important elections. This situation also contrasts with the optimism displayed by some voters, who underline the importance of this referendum for the return to constitutional order.

However, the issue of low participation remains at the center of concerns for both competing camps. Indeed, the participation rate constitutes one of the main issues of this referendum, and it largely conditions the legitimacy of the results. The transitional authorities, responsible for organizing the vote, were unable to provide figures regarding participation, and refused to comment on this situation. Some observers also point to irregularities in the conduct of the referendum, such as difficulties in collecting voter cards, delays in opening polling stations, or a low number of “No” ballots available.

This low turnout was mainly observed in the capital, where many voters preferred not to go to the polls, believing that their vote would be no match for the “yes” vote, which they believe will win regardless of the vote. result. This situation was accentuated by the opposition’s call to boycott the referendum, in order to delegitimize the “dynastic devolution” of power.

Despite this low participation, the referendum took place without major incident, under the surveillance of security forces. The closure of businesses and services was also noted in the majority of affected areas.

It remains to be seen how these provisional results and the participation rate will impact the rest of the electoral process and future political decisions in Chad. The question of the legitimacy of the results is likely to be debated, and it will be interesting to follow the reactions of the different political actors in the coming days.

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