Title: The uncertain destiny of Nagorno-Karabakh: consequences and exodus
Introduction :
Since the announcement of the dissolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, events have accelerated in this region disputed between Armenia and Azerbaijan. As the exodus of Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh continues, Russia and Azerbaijan are set to discuss the future of the Russian peacekeeping mission in the region. In this article, we will analyze the consequences of the dissolution of the self-proclaimed separatist Republic and the context of this mass exodus.
The context of the conflict and the Azerbaijani offensive:
Nagorno-Karabakh, a small mountainous enclave with an Armenian majority, was the scene of two conflicts between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the 1990s and in 2020. Fighting resumed in late September 2020, when Azerbaijan launched an offensive against the troops of the self-proclaimed Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh, achieving a quick victory. The Russian-sponsored deployment of Russian peacekeepers did not prevent the Azerbaijani offensive, highlighting tensions between Russia and Armenia.
Consequences of the dissolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic:
The announcement of the dissolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic caused a mass exodus of Armenians living in the region. According to Armenian authorities, nearly 88,780 people, or three-quarters of the territory’s official population, have left their homes, fearing reprisals from Baku. Additionally, an explosion at a fuel depot caused the death of at least 170 people as they fled to Armenia. This dramatic situation highlights the tragic humanitarian consequences of the conflict.
The future of the Russian peacekeeping mission:
The presence of Russian peacekeeping forces on Azerbaijani territory raises questions about their future. Russia has made it clear that discussions on this subject will take place with Azerbaijan. This statement demonstrates Moscow’s desire to take Azerbaijan’s interests into account in resolving this conflict. However, it is important to note that the dissolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic also means the end of this territory’s autonomy and that Russia’s influence in the region could be called into question.
Conclusion :
Nagorno-Karabakh is going through a period of upheaval following the dissolution of the self-proclaimed separatist Republic. The massive exodus of Armenians and the dramatic humanitarian consequences underline the scale of the challenges facing this region. As for the Russian peacekeeping mission, its future remains uncertain, but it is clear that Russia will have to take Azerbaijan’s interests into account in the negotiations. Resolving this complex conflict will require extensive dialogue and international cooperation.