Title: Guinea-Niger: The position of the Guinean junta divides
Introduction :
The recent position taken by the National Committee of the Rally for Development (CNRD), the leading body of the Guinean junta, in support of the takeover of power by the Nigerien putschists, provokes mixed reactions in Conakry. While some support this position affirming Guinea’s sovereignty, others believe that the CNRD should not engage the country in conflict with regional institutions. This divergence reflects the political tensions and complexity of the situation in West Africa.
Support for the junta in Niger:
The CNRD, led by Colonel Mamadi Doumbouya, clearly expressed its support for the Nigerien authorities following the takeover of power on July 26. In a press release, the CNRD affirms that the assumption of responsibility by the National Council for the Safeguarding of the Homeland (CNSP) in Niger has aroused the interest and support of the Guinean authorities towards the brave people of Niger. This position provokes contrasting reactions within the Guinean political class.
Reactions to support for the junta:
Some supporters of the junta see this position as an affirmation of Guinea’s sovereignty and proof of the neutrality of its foreign policy. They believe that any intervention by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in Niger would be perceived as an act of war or a provocation. However, other voices are raised against this position, believing that the CNRD does not have the legitimacy to engage the Guinean people in a conflict with regional institutions. Some even see in this position a desire to confiscate power and not respect the deadlines set for the return to constitutional order.
The underlying issues:
Beyond the position of the Guinean junta, some analysts see this position as a manifestation of political tensions and regional rivalries in West Africa. They emphasize that this situation could create a dangerous precedent for democracy and the rule of law in the sub-region. Some French-speaking West African countries would seek to create a union within ECOWAS, which could call into question the regional political balance. It is therefore crucial to understand the geopolitical issues underlying this position.
Conclusion :
The position taken by the Guinean junta in support of the Nigerien putschists divides the political class in Conakry. While some see this assertion of sovereignty as proof of political neutrality, others believe that the CNRD should not engage Guinea in a conflict with regional institutions. This divergence illustrates the political tensions and underlying issues that characterize the situation in West Africa. It is crucial to closely monitor developments and the possible repercussions on regional stability.