Title: Assessment of the constitutional referendum in the Central African Republic: The omnipresence of the “yes” and its political consequences
Introduction :
The constitutional referendum held on July 30 in the Central African Republic sparked strong reactions and controversy. With a landslide “yes” victory (95.27% of the vote), President Faustin Archange Touadéra obtained extended powers and paved the way for a potential third term. However, this election was marked by a dubious turnout and an opposition boycott, calling into question its legitimacy. In this article, we will analyze the results of the referendum and its implications for the power in place and the opposition, as well as the attitude of the international community vis-à-vis this election.
Figures that raise questions:
Despite the overwhelming victory of the “yes” vote in the referendum, with an official participation rate of 61%, doubts persist as to the legitimacy of this figure. Testimonies on the ground report deserted polling stations in some provinces, calling into question the real importance of the turnout announced by the National Elections Authority (ANE). These figures raise questions about the population’s real support for this referendum and the transparency of the vote.
Consequences for the power in place and the opposition:
With the obtaining of extended powers thanks to this referendum, President Touadéra sees the way for a potential third term in 2025 opening up before him. By weakening the post of President of the National Assembly and strengthening his prerogatives in the appointment of members of the Constitutional Court, nothing seems to be able to prevent him from standing again. This prospect worries the already weakened and divided opposition. Some of its members are calling for violent actions against the president, while others are seeking democratic avenues to express their discontent. In any case, the opposition finds itself faced with increased power and little space to make its voice heard.
The international silence:
A notable aspect of this referendum is the international silence that surrounds it. France and the United States have changed their strategy by favoring the reduction of the influence of the Russian private military company Wagner in the Central African Republic. However, strengthening Touadéra’s power could also solidify Wagner’s presence in the country, raising questions about this new direction. This international silence raises questions about the role of foreign actors and their position vis-à-vis democracy and human rights.
Conclusion :
The constitutional referendum in the Central African Republic has created a strong polarization within society and the political class. Despite a landslide victory for the “yes”, doubts remain as to the legitimacy of the ballot and the true support of the population. The political consequences are multiple, with the strengthening of President Touadéra’s power and the weakening of the opposition. Moreover, the international silence surrounding this election raises questions about the priorities of foreign actors. It is crucial to follow the evolution of the situation in the Central African Republic and to remain vigilant with regard to respect for democratic principles and human rights