### When nuclear becomes a play of patience: the art of Iranian-American diplomacy
On Saturday, in Oman, the great diplomatic maneuvers are coming. The promise of an agreement on Iranian nuclear floats in the air as a smell of hope mixed with skepticism. The head of Iranian diplomacy, this man whose face wears the marks of a history marked by international conflicts and tensions, launched the goodwill of the United States. But this “good will”, what does it really mean?
For Clément Therme, sociologist and specialist in international relations, the question that arises is less that of negotiation – a well -powered ballet between supporters and opponents of the Iranian regime – than that of timing and hidden intentions. Therme underlines one thing: behind smiles and handles, there is a gold opportunity for the United States to redefine a power balance on a geopolitical scale. But at what price?
### A dance on the abyss
The challenge of the American-Iranian partnership is such that it seems eternally suspended between two extremes: on the one hand, the promise of peace and a disarmed future; On the other, the reality of a world where distrust and historical resentments weigh heavily. Think of history: who could have imagined that diplomacy with Khomeiny would be a subject of conversations at the dawn of the 80s? The echoes of the Iranian Revolution still resonate in Washington, a heritage which, like an old wine, has gradually achieved bitterness.
But here, at the dawn of new talks, a nuance breaks out in light: the approach of the United States is deeply shaped by the spectrum of their own international failures and the emergence of regional actors who complicate the game. Saudi Arabia, Israel, and even the Emirates are in the starting blocks, ready to closely monitor all alignment between Teheran and Washington. A geopolitical risk taking that could prove to be catastrophic if things slip.
## Good will or good confidence?
Therme also puts its finger on another contradiction: the “good will” of the United States, so often invoked, is marred by a lack of mutual trust. After all, what are the promises worth when you have the traumas of the agreements, like this infamous nuclear plan of 2015, cracked by the unilateral withdrawal of Donald Trump in 2018? And where the world hoped for flowers, it was a war of words that has flowered in three years, leaving cracks that diplomacy is struggling to clog today.
The essential questioning that arises is therefore that of the sincerity of American intentions. In this sense, the strategy seems to hape any nuance. Should we really believe that Washington will drop the stick in favor of an outstretched hand in Tehran? Or can we envisage that this good will be simply a facade, a strategic diversion to divert the eyes of the inner chaos and the growing dissatisfaction on American soil? After all, a population that suffers outside can always be far from the problems by beautiful external propaganda.
### A rallone to the future
While the nuclear spectrum swirls around discussions, do we do well to grasp this moment to look beyond the negotiations to come? Even if an agreement is reached, what is the long -term vision? What may seem, for a moment, as an opportunity for peace, could quickly turn into a temporary solution, a rustine on a defective machine. And this is where Therme’s analysis takes on its fullness: Iranian nuclear is not just a simple file to be treated, it is a microcosm of international relations, a reflection of internal and external rivalries.
In the end, the discussions on Saturday, everything brought it to believe, will be tinged with this ambiguity. From good will to distrust, there is only one step. A dance on the wire, where the slightest misstep could wave decades of diplomacy, and where the idea of an agreement would be nothing other than a promise in the air. The world is looking at, but what will it come out? The historical lesson is clear: a treaty without confidence is nothing more than a piece of paper. It remains to be hoped that this time, history is not repeated in tragedy.