Military intervention in Niger remains uncertain: Senegalese and Ghanaian troops stand ready
Since the coup d’état which took place at the end of July in Niger, tension remains palpable in the West African region. The Nigerien junta recently accused France of preparing aggression, while the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) is considering possible military intervention to restore constitutional order.
Senegalese and Ghanaian troops are ready to intervene, but are still awaiting the decision of politicians. An interlocutor within the presidency of the ECOWAS Commission declared: “There are still adjustments to be made.” We wonder if the President of Senegal, Macky Sall, has changed his opinion on the issue, because the boat carrying the Senegalese troops should have docked at the port of Cotonou a few days ago already.
Ghana, despite its economic difficulties, also agreed to provide troops for the possible intervention. On the other hand, we question its ability to finance the departure of its soldiers to the front.
Nigeria, considered the potential driver of this military intervention, is also showing uncertainty. While President Bola Tinubu was initially the most determined to restore constitutional order by force in Niger, Nigeria seems to be taking a step forward and then a step back on the subject in recent weeks.
It is important to remember that at the end of August, the President of Nigeria and head of ECOWAS raised the possibility of a transition “if the military power [in place in Niamey] proves sincere”. These comments were denied by ECOWAS itself, calling into question the idea of a transition timetable. This raises questions about Nigeria’s real position regarding military intervention in Niger.
While the situation in Niger remains fragile, the decision for military intervention remains pending. The Senegalese and Ghanaian troops are ready, but political uncertainty is delaying their departure. Nigeria, another key player in this situation, also seems hesitant in its position. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether and to what extent the intervention will take place. Let us therefore remain attentive to developments in the situation in the West African region.