Title: ECOWAS ultimatum expires, but military intervention in Niger seems unlikely at this time
Introduction: The ultimatum issued by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) to the Nigerien putschists ended on the night of August 6, 2023. However, despite the expiration of this ultimatum, a possible intervention military forces members of the organization does not seem to be planned for the moment. New discussions and diplomatic missions are envisaged to find a peaceful solution to the political crisis in Niger. In this article, we will consider the latest developments and prospects for military intervention in the country.
Development :
Since the expiry of the ECOWAS ultimatum, discussions have continued within the organization and among regional leaders. ECOWAS Heads of State and Ministers are in regular contact to seek a peaceful solution to the political crisis in Niger. The organization still favors a negotiated resolution of the situation and continues to put pressure on the junta to restore constitutional order.
However, the possibility of a military intervention is not totally ruled out. ECOWAS member countries such as Nigeria, Benin, Ivory Coast and Senegal are preparing behind the scenes should the need arise. Details of troop deployment and response plans remain under wraps, but some experts believe troops could be positioned near Niger’s borders.
ECOWAS is also seeking support from various international actors. A new ECOWAS mission could be sent to Niger, hoping for a better reception from the junta. Additionally, a US delegation may also travel to Niamey to discuss the situation and press for the restoration of constitutional order. These various initiatives aim to avoid military intervention and to promote a peaceful resolution to the crisis.
Conclusion: Although the ECOWAS ultimatum has expired, immediate military intervention seems unlikely. The organization is still seeking a peaceful solution to the political crisis in Niger and continues to conduct discussions and diplomatic missions to reach a negotiated settlement. However, the possibility of military intervention remains, and ECOWAS member countries are preparing behind the scenes. The situation in Niger therefore remains uncertain, and it is essential to closely monitor future developments