### The German legislative election: a historic turning point for conservatives and the extreme right
On the eve of the legislative elections in Germany, the political landscape promises to be more eventful than ever. Conservatives, traditionally anchored at the heart of the German political system, seem able to achieve a significant score, while the far -right party, AFD (alternative für Deutschland), is also given in good position to establish a new record electoral. If the conservative voices announce an imminent victory, it is essential to deeply examine the implications of this dynamic for the future of Germany and Europe.
#### A loaded electoral context
The elections of tomorrow take place in a particularly tense climate, marked by increasing concerns around immigration, the economy and environmental issues. With the pandemic of COVID-19 still in minds, Germany is not spared by global economic instability, exacerbated by recent geopolitical events such as war in Ukraine. These circumstances have redefined the priorities of voters, highlighting tangible economic concerns.
Traditionally, the right -wing parties have been able to capitalize on popular dissatisfaction with social policies and economic challenges. It is therefore crucial to emphasize that AFD, although opposed to the conservatives of the CDU/CSU, succeeds in capturing a significant part of the disillusioned electorate, with promises of patriotic renewal and an anti-immigration policy.
### Surpinable conservatives
The conservatives, led by the CDU who recently made a change in leadership, see a return to business after several years of opposition. This return is partly fueled by the disillusionment surrounding the coalition government led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, whose measures deemed insufficient in the face of economic and social crises have considerably eroded popular trust.
Some analysts note that the current dynamics could be considered as a return of traditional values, where security, order and stability are favored in relation to social innovation. In this context, conservatives must not only seduce the traditional electorate, but also fight against increasing populism embodied by AFD.
#### The possible ascent of the AFD
The possibility that AFD encounters a wave of unprecedented electoral support calls for a reflection on the reasons for its ascent. The party has managed to exploit social anxieties with regard to immigration, multiculturalism and economic difficulties, positioning its speeches as radical solutions to pressing problems. But the question remains: how much can this strategy bear fruit, and what will be the consequences on democratic values and European unity?
Analyzing the results of the latest regional elections, AFD has recorded notable gains, which could indicate a substantive trend. The regions of eastern Germany, which have historically shown sympathy for the ideas of the far right, could also influence the national score. As a comparison, the 2019 Europeans showed that although traditional parties have lost ground, the AFD has established itself as an essential political force, obtaining almost 11 % of the votes.
#### towards an uncertain future
Beyond the immediate results, these elections could have significant repercussions on the future of Germany and, by extension, of Europe. Consolidation of the conservative and extreme right forces could indicate a displacement of political values to the right, thus modifying the scheme of governance and the political priorities in the medium term.
Germany, historically perceived as a pillar of stability in Europe, could see a fragmentation of its political landscape if these tendencies continue. This raises crucial questions about the ability of traditional parties to adapt to new political realities and respond to the concerns of an increasingly heterogeneous electorate.
#### Conclusion
Thus, these legislative elections constitute a decisive turning point for the country. Whether through the renewal of the conservatives or the ascent of an extreme right party, the result will dictate not only the future political of Germany, but also its role within a Europe in full transformation. German citizens are at a historic crossroads, where each vote will count and may affect the direction that the country will take in the years to come. The stakes are more than ever crucial, and the repercussions of this ballot will resonate beyond the German borders.