The critical issues of the Russia-Ukraine crisis: towards an imminent military escalation?

In a tense geopolitical context, Russia affirms its determination to defend its interests against the West, particularly the United States. The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister speaks of stronger military means in the event of provocation. Tensions are intensifying, with increasing risks of escalation. American aid to Ukraine reinforces fears of an escalation, particularly with the mention of a nuclear ballistic missile. Russia underlines its commitment to defend its national interests and calls for mutual understanding despite significant obstacles. Constructive diplomacy and de-escalation measures are essential to avoid an escalation with devastating consequences.
In a tense geopolitical context unprecedented since the Cold War, Russia has clearly stated its determination to defend its national interests against the West, especially the United States. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov recently told Fatshimetrie in an exclusive interview that Moscow could resort to even stronger military means in its conflict with Ukraine if the United States and its allies do not recognize that it cannot be tested indefinitely.

This statement underlines the growing risks of the current situation, with tensions continuing to escalate. Ryabkov clarified that there is no magic solution to this conflict and expressed concern about the lack of common sense and restraint on the part of the West, especially the United States, in the face of Russia’s determination to defend its national security interests.

The administration of US President Joe Biden recently announced a $725 million security assistance package for Ukraine, aimed at strengthening Kyiv’s position in the face of escalating Russian attacks. However, Ryabkov stressed that the risk of military escalation should not be underestimated and depends on decisions taken in Washington.

Russia also raised the possibility of using the Oreshnik ballistic missile capable of carrying nuclear weapons against Ukraine again, which further raises concerns about a future escalation of the conflict. Ryabkov justified this threat by stressing that Russia must respond to any provocation and assert its will.

The Russian deputy foreign minister also touched on the disagreement between Moscow and Washington, noting the lack of direct contact between Russia and the team of former US President Donald Trump regarding the latter’s comments about ending the war in Ukraine in one day. Ryabkov insisted that Russia would defend its national interests without compromise, while leaving the door open to peace talks if conditions were favorable.

In a context where the prospects for compromise seem almost nil, it appears that the only way to resolve this conflict is through mutual understanding of the positions involved, although many obstacles remain.
This story illustrates the critical issues facing Ukraine and Russia, highlighting the need for constructive diplomacy and de-escalation measures to avoid a military escalation with devastating consequences.

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