Title: Assessment of the constitutional referendum in the Central African Republic: between protests and consequences
Introduction :
The constitutional referendum which took place on July 30 in the Central African Republic sparked strong reactions and controversies. Despite the overwhelming “yes” victory with 95.27% of the vote, the participation and legitimacy of the vote were contested by the opposition and certain observers. In this article, we will examine the results of this referendum and the possible consequences for the power in place and the opposition. We will also discuss the position of the international community with regard to this election.
The participation rate called into question:
Although the National Elections Authority (ANE) announced a participation rate of 61%, doubts remain about the authenticity of this figure. Testimonies report empty and poorly attended polling stations in certain regions of the country. This raises questions about the real interest of citizens in this referendum, outside of circles of power. The legitimacy of these results is thus called into question.
Consequences for the power of Faustin Archange Touadéra:
This referendum constitutes a victory for President Touadéra, who will now have extensive powers. He will potentially be able to run for a third term in 2025, thanks to the constitutional amendments adopted. Some observers believe that this referendum also strengthens the presence of foreign influence groups such as Wagner, who have agreements with President Touadéra. However, the opposition disputes these results and will likely try to oppose a possible candidacy of the president in 2025.
The weakness and division of the opposition:
The opposition in the Central African Republic appears weakened and divided following this referendum. Some of its members even called for taking up arms against President Touadéra. However, other opposition actors wish to remain within the democratic framework but find themselves with little voice and space to express themselves. This division weakens the opposition’s ability to act as a counterweight to the power in place.
The silence of the international community:
The silence of the international community in the face of this referendum can be explained by a change in strategy of international actors, such as France and the United States. The latter decided to prioritize the fight against Wagner’s influence in the Central African Republic. However, this silence raises questions about the impact on political stability and the legitimacy of this election.
Conclusion :
The constitutional referendum in the Central African Republic raises many questions about its legitimacy and its consequences on the political stability of the country. Despite the overwhelming “yes” victory, opposition protests and doubts about participation call into question the validity of this vote. The political future of the Central African Republic remains uncertain, and it remains to be seen how the government and the opposition will position themselves in the years to come. The international community will also have to clarify its position regarding this situation.