The following article offers a detailed analysis of the latest trends in the race for the presidential election in the Democratic Republic of Congo. According to a recent poll carried out by “Le grand oeil”, Félix Tshisekedi, the outgoing president, seems to be widening the gap with his opponents, collecting more than 74% of voting intentions.
In this survey conducted among 15,100 voters registered by the CENI, Tshisekedi enjoys strong support throughout the country, notably thanks to his political affiliation with the Sacred Union of the Nation, a coalition bringing together major political parties and personalities. influential. Its achievements, such as its local development program, free education and maternity, as well as the success of the Francophonie Games, also work in its favor.
However, the poll also highlights certain criticisms made of Tshisekedi, notably the capture of Bunagana by the M23 rebel group and the depreciation of the Congolese franc against the dollar. Despite these criticisms, the outgoing president maintains a very favorable position in the polls.
As for the other candidates, Moïse Katumbi occupies second place with 10% of voting intentions. Former governor of Katanga, he is particularly popular in this province. Martin Fayulu Madidi comes in third position with 8.3% of the votes, making his participation in the elections conditional on a new audit of the electoral register. Matata Ponyo Mapon is in fourth place with a score of 0.8%, mainly concentrating its support in its home province of Maniema. Delly Sesanga and Constant Mutamba complete the ranking with respective scores of 0.3% and 0.1%.
The survey also highlights the main concerns of Congolese voters, which relate to security, infrastructure, water, electricity and the economy. Regional affiliation also seems to influence the choices of candidates.
Overall, Félix Tshisekedi seems firmly anchored at the top of the polls for the 2023 presidential election. However, the coming months will be crucial for the evolution of candidacies and electoral campaigns, and it is possible that political dynamics could still to change. Developments in the political situation in the DRC will need to be closely monitored.