Title: Diplomatic issues between Saudi Arabia, Israel and Iran
Introduction :
In a complex geopolitical context, the diplomatic discussions between Saudi Arabia, Israel and Iran raise many questions. As talks are underway to establish diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel, some wonder whether this could challenge the recent détente between Riyadh and Tehran. In this article, we will analyze the chances of seeing such an agreement succeed and understand the strategic issues for Saudi Arabia.
Riyadh’s balancing act:
According to official sources, discussions are underway between the US administration, the Saudi monarchy and the Palestinians to establish diplomatic relations with Israel. However, these talks face several obstacles, including uncertainties over Israeli concessions to the Palestinians and the demands of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS). Despite these discussions, it is important to note that the current detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran is valuable for both parties.
The issues for Iran:
For Iran, detente with Saudi Arabia is an opportunity to break out of its diplomatic isolation. As armed groups allied with Tehran, such as Hezbollah and the Houthi rebels, face difficulties, Iran is seeking recognition of its regional role through an agreement with Riyadh. Moreover, detente would stabilize the region, thus weakening Iran’s influence over the Sunni petromonarchy.
Saudi Arabia’s strategic priorities:
Despite ongoing talks with Israel, Saudi Arabia is unlikely to abandon the fragile detente with Iran. The Islamic Republic has demonstrated its superiority in regional conflicts, to the detriment of the Saudi monarchy. Therefore, Crown Prince MBS is aware that conciliation and diplomacy are the only ways for Riyadh to win in this situation. A stabilized and economically prosperous region would weaken Iran’s dominant role and reduce the Sunni-Shia divides that have long benefited other regional powers.
Conclusion :
The ongoing discussions between Saudi Arabia, Israel and Iran raise many questions about the future of diplomatic relations in the Middle East. While the relaxation between Riyadh and Tehran is beneficial for both countries, the prospect of an agreement with Israel could add an additional dimension to this dynamic. It is essential to closely follow the progress of these talks and understand the strategic issues for each party involved.. In a changing geopolitical context, it is crucial to carefully analyze the different regional dynamics to better understand the future of diplomacy in the Middle East.