Title: Voting intentions in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Félix Tshisekedi in the lead, Katumbi and Fayulu in decline
Date: August 24, 2023
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Introduction :
A few months before the presidential election in the Democratic Republic of Congo, voting intentions are emerging and reveal a clear trend. According to the latest report from Geopoll’s sociopolitical barometer, outgoing President Félix Tshisekedi is leading in voting intentions, while his main opponents, Moïse Katumbi and Martin Fayulu, are seeing their popularity ratings decline. Let’s take a closer look at the figures and the stakes of this race for the presidency.
A representative survey:
The American polling firm Geopoll carried out a vast survey in all the provinces of the DRC, between April 5 and July 20, 2023. Based on a sample of 7,422 households, this survey highlights the overall satisfaction of the Congolese population. with regard to President Tshisekedi’s record. However, challenges remain, particularly in terms of infrastructure, youth employment and security in the east of the country.
Felix Tshisekedi in the lead:
According to the results of the survey, nearly 65% of Congolese say they are ready to re-elect Félix Tshisekedi for a second presidential term. Despite a slight drop among young voters, support for the incumbent remains strong. The main reasons for satisfaction are free education, although other issues such as road construction and falling food prices remain to be resolved.
Katumbi and Fayulu in decline:
On the other hand, the main opponents of Félix Tshisekedi, Moïse Katumbi and Martin Fayulu, saw their popularity decline. Moïse Katumbi collects only 12% of the voting intentions, while Martin Fayulu obtains only 8%. Voters appear to be focused on their preferred candidate, and there are no signs of a united opposition capable of meaningfully challenging President Tshisekedi.
Electoral outlook:
Geopoll experts believe that with six months to go until the elections, the strength of support for President Tshisekedi, coupled with a fragmented opposition, points to a landslide victory for Tshisekedi in the upcoming ballot. However, as the electoral campaigns intensify, there are still many issues and challenges to be addressed to ensure a democratic and transparent electoral process in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Conclusion :
With the approach of the presidential election in the Democratic Republic of Congo, voting intentions draw a clear political landscape, with Félix Tshisekedi in the lead and his main opponents in retreat. However, nothing is decided yet and many challenges remain to be overcome to guarantee a transparent and democratic electoral process.. It will be interesting to watch how the situation develops in the coming months and to see how the candidates will meet the expectations of Congolese voters