The news of August 6, 2023 highlights the tense political situation in Niger. Indeed, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has set an ultimatum to the Nigerien putschists to give up power. ECOWAS is threatening military intervention if the mutineers do not comply with this request.
In this dynamic, Nigeria – which currently holds the presidency of ECOWAS – could play a leading role in a possible military operation. However, political pressure is being felt on the Nigerian President, Bola Tinubu. Indeed, the Senate expressed its preference for diplomatic and political solutions to resolve the crisis in Niger, rather than an armed confrontation.
This position of the Senate also reflects the concerns of senators from the north of the country, who point to the cultural, religious and linguistic ties between Nigeria and Niger. They warn of the possible repercussions of a military intervention, in particular a destabilization of already fragile regions, as well as a deterioration of the Nigerian economy.
Moreover, political opponents, represented by the Coalition of United Political Parties (CUPP), strongly criticized the idea of military intervention, considering it unnecessary and irresponsible. They highlight the depletion of resources and the precious lives of soldiers in a context where the economy is already fragile.
Faced with these various political pressures and regional concerns, Bola Tinubu will have to take these elements into account in his decision on the way forward concerning Niger. The resolution of the crisis will have to be envisaged in a strategic way, by favoring peaceful and lasting solutions to ensure the stability of the region.
In conclusion, the situation in Niger is attracting the attention of the regional and international community, with ECOWAS ready to intervene if necessary. Nigeria, as a major regional power, must juggle political pressures and strike the right balance to resolve the crisis in an effective and thoughtful manner